Posts Tagged Tom Tango

AL Central WAR

Who is the best of one of the worst divisions in baseball?

The AL Central is one of the weakest divisions in baseball, and for a third straight year there may be a 163rd game of the season to determine the division winner.

While the Twins got off to a hot start and have led the division for 88 days, it has been the red hot White Sox, 25-5 to finish the 1st half, that lead in the division at the All Star Break.

Actual Standings
2010 AL Central Wins Losses Win% GB
Chicago Sox 49 38 .563 -
Detroit 48 42 .558 .5
Minnesota 46 42 .523 3.5
Kansas City 39 49 .443 10.5
Cleveland 39 54 .386 15.5

The actual standings ultimatly matter in determining playoff teams, but there are more accurate ways to determine how many games a baseball team should have won. The Pythagorean expectation, Pythagenport formula and WAR are more accurate ways of determining wins and losses.

Dave Cameron wrote a great piece on Team WAR vs. Run Differential for evaluating how good a team should be. He points out the limitations of RD, the basis for the Pythagorean expectation, and the higher level of accuracy of Team WAR.

Read the rest of this entry »

, , , , , ,

1 Comment

Future HOF: Justin Upton

One of the most valuable players in the league at 21, the sky is the limit for Justin Upton

One of the most valuable players in the league at 21, the sky is the limit for Justin Upton

Before you read — I will be doing a series of “Future HOF” where I claim that a certain player will be in the HOF at the end of his career.   This will be mostly baseball related.   I will examine players that aren’t shoe in’s – so I won’t be analyzing John Smoltz.  I want to get a feel for what everyone thinks.

When I was 19 years old, I made the biggest claim of my life.  I told a roommate that a kid our age would be the best outfielder our generation would ever see.

Yes, the player had played a handful of games in the majors, and was 19, so you know he had talent.  It all depended on how quickly he would rise to stardom.

Now at 21, Justin Upton is already a star.

Read the rest of this entry »

, , , , , ,

No Comments